Intuitive Machines, Inc. (NASDAQ:LUNR) shares are declining on Tuesday as risk appetite cools across growth-leaning names during a broad market pullback. The Nasdaq is down 0.77% while the S&P 500 has shed 0.50%.

With markets in “risk-off” mode, traders are treating higher-beta space and small-cap names like LUNR as a source of liquidity, even as defensive pockets hold up better. Market breadth is also soft (advance/decline ratio: 0.6), which tends to pressure momentum stocks when buyers get selective.

Earnings Snapshot

Last week, the company reported fourth-quarter revenue of $44.78 million, missing the consensus estimate of $53.68 million.

CEO Steve Altemus said 2025 was a “transformational year” for the company, pointing to the completion of its second lunar mission, expansion into national security space programs and acquisitions, including KinetX Aerospace and Lanteris Space Systems, as part of efforts to expand scale and growth opportunities.

Intuitive anticipates fiscal-year revenue of $900.00 million to $1.00 billion, versus the consensus estimate of $720.86 million.

Analyst Consensus & Recent Actions: The stock carries a Buy Rating with an average price target of $19.59. Recent analyst moves include:

  • Deutsche Bank: Buy (Raises Target to $22.00) (Mar. 20)
  • Canaccord Genuity: Buy (Raises Target to $24.00) (Mar. 20)
  • Cantor Fitzgerald: Overweight (Raises Target to $26.00) (Mar. 20)
  • Stifel: Hold (Raises Target to $22.00) (Mar. 23)

Technical Analysis

Intuitive Machines is trading 0.3% below its 20-day SMA and 17.9% above its 100-day SMA, a setup that says the longer-term uptrend is still intact even as the short-term trend cools. Shares are up 94.96% over the past 12 months and are positioned closer to their 52-week highs than lows.

RSI is at 58.08, which is neutral territory and suggests momentum has eased but hasn’t broken down. Meanwhile, MACD is at 0.3041 versus a 0.1287 signal line, keeping a bullish configuration even after the recent dip.

The combination of RSI above 50 and bullish MACD suggests mixed momentum, with trend support still present but near-term follow-through needing to reassert itself.

  • Key Resistance: $19.50
  • Key Support: $15.00

Benzinga Edge Rankings

Below is the Benzinga Edge scorecard for Intuitive Machines, highlighting its strengths and weaknesses compared to the broader market:

  • Momentum: Bullish (Score: 97.92) — The stock is still screening as a leader on trend and relative strength despite today’s pullback.
  • Value: Weak (Score: 13.97) — The market is pricing in a lot of future execution, leaving less margin for error if expectations slip.

The Verdict: Intuitive Machines’ Benzinga Edge signal reveals a momentum-driven story with a premium-leaning valuation profile. For longer-term bulls, the key is whether the stock can regain and hold the $19.50 area; if it can’t, traders may keep leaning on it until a clearer base forms.

Top ETF Exposure

  • SPDR S&P Kensho New Economies Composite ETF (NYSE:KOMP): 0.85% Weight
  • State Street SPDR S&P Kensho Final Frontiers ETF (NYSE:ROKT): 4.30% Weight

Significance: Because LUNR carries significant weight in these funds, any significant inflows or outflows for these ETFs will likely force automatic buying or selling of the stock.

LUNR Price Action: Intuitive Machines shares were down 10.51% at $18.17 at the time of publication on Tuesday, according to Benzinga Pro data.

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