Visteon (NASDAQ:VC) reported first-quarter financial results on Thursday. The transcript from the company's first-quarter earnings call has been provided below.
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The full earnings call is available at https://events.q4inc.com/attendee/290796381
Summary
Visteon reported Q1 2026 net sales of $954 million, a 2% year-over-year increase, driven by new product launches and customer recoveries, despite lower industry vehicle production.
Adjusted EBITDA was $104 million, with elevated semiconductor costs impacting margins, but customer recoveries are expected to improve later in the year.
New business wins exceeded $1 billion, highlighting strategic wins in AI-based Smart Cockpit Systems and digital clusters, reinforcing the company's technological leadership.
The company returned $40 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, maintaining a strong balance sheet with net cash of $385 million.
Visteon reaffirmed its full-year guidance, anticipating low single-digit growth over the market, with strong product launches in the second half, notably with Toyota and high-performance computing systems.
Full Transcript
Chris Doyle (Vice President of Investor Relations and FP)
Good morning, I'm hi, I'm Chris Doyle, Vice President of Investor Relations and FP&A welcome to our earnings call for the first quarter of 2026. Before we begin this morning's call, I'd like to remind you that today's presentation contains forward looking statements under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to various risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results to materially differ from those expressed. Please refer to the page titled Forward Looking Statements in our earnings material for more detail. Presentation materials for today's call were posted this morning on the Investors section of Visteon website. Joining us today are Sachin Lawande, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Jerome Ruquet, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. We've scheduled the call for one hour and we'll open the lines for questions after Sachin's and Jerome's prepared remarks. Please limit your participation to one question and one follow up. Thank you again for joining us. Now I'll turn the call over to Sachin Lawande.
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
Thank you Chris and good morning everyone. Visteon delivered a solid start to the year with first quarter sales coming ahead of our expectations. Net sales were $954 million, up 2% year over year despite lower industry and customer vehicle production. New product launches and customer recoveries more than offset the anticipated headwinds from lower BMS volumes and vehicle discontinuations. At Ford, growth over market in the quarter was 3%. Adjusted EBITDA was $104 million, broadly in line with our expectations. During the quarter we saw elevated semiconductor costs, while the associated recoveries from customers are expected to be weighted more to the later part of the year. Adjusted free cash flow was negative $23 million, primarily driven by normal seasonality and higher inventory levels. We continue to maintain a strong balance sheet with net cash of $385 million, providing ample flexibility to execute our capital allocation strategy. New business wins were just over $1 billion led by cockpit domain controllers and digital clusters. A key highlight was our high performance COMPUTE win with SAIC in China, a third customer for AI based Smart Cockpit Systems, reinforcing our first mover advantage in this emerging technology. Similar to our early leadership with Smartcore, Q1 was a busy quarter for operations with 20 launches across 11 automakers including on several high profile vehicles, underscoring our continued execution, excellence and in a dynamic supply chain environment. Finally, we continue to return capital to shareholders. During the quarter we returned $40 million through share repurchases and dividends. Overall, the quarter reflects a good start to the year with strong execution across all parts of our business and continued progress on our strategic priorities. Turning to page three this page shows our Q1 sales performance by region representing a solid start to the year with balanced global customer demand. In the Americas, demand for cockpit electronics was strong driven by ramp up of recently launched products including new display programs with Nissan and gm. We also benefited from one time customer recoveries related to prior EV volume declines. Offsetting these were the anticipated headwinds from vehicle discontinuations at Ford and lower BMS volumes due to changes in EV policies and incentives In Europe, we benefited from strong ramp ups on several successful vehicle programs. Key contributors included a curved panoramic display referred to as a digital stage, combining a 12 inch digital cluster and a slightly larger center information display on the Audi Q3, digital clusters and displays on the Renault 4 and 5 EVs and digital clusters on the new Nissan Qashqai in Jupe. These programs supported Q1 sales growth despite a weak vehicle production environment. The engineering services acquisition from last year also contributed modestly to our sales in Europe. In rest of Asia, India was a strong market for Visteon with ramp ups of a new SmartCore system for Mahindra and a digital cluster for TVS A leading to Wheeler OEM. We also launched new digital cluster programs with Nissan and Mitsubishi for Japan and ASEAN markets, offsetting a Mazda program roll off in China, policy reset and demand pulled forward late last year led to lower Q1 vehicle production, particularly in the price sensitive segments. Our sales were in line with expectations supported by greater exposure to higher value segments that are less affected by policy changes. We also benefited from several recently launched programs including the new cockpit domain controller with zeekr, an upgraded digital cluster on the Toyota Corolla and a new digital cluster on the Toyota Frontlander. The year over year decline in our sales has reduced significantly versus prior quarters and is now tracking more in line with customer production volumes. Looking ahead, we have multiple launches in the second half that are expected to drive modest growth in China this year, followed by a more meaningful step up in 2027. In in summary, we started the year very well with stable global demand for cockpit electronics and new product launches, offsetting the expected headwinds primarily from lower BMS volumes. Turning to page four, Q1 was a busy launch quarter with 20 new products launched with 11 carmakers and on some strategically important vehicles for our customers. This page highlights a few key programs. We marked a significant milestone with our first launch for Toyota's Lexus brand on the fully redesigned Lexus es, a flagship model leading the next generation electrified lineup for Lexus. Our driver display is standard on all trims globally, reinforcing Visteon's role in advancing premium in cabin experiences with Toyota and contributing to our growth with this customer. We also launched a digital cluster on the first ever Infiniti QX65, a mid sized luxury SUV from Nissan for US and Middle east markets. This new vehicle is a key part of Nissan's turnaround strategy in the US and our 12 inch digital cluster comes standard in all trim lines of this vehicle. In China we launched a driver display for the new electric Ford Bronco developed specifically for that market. The automotive market in China is evolving beyond electrification to highly specialized segments with focus on technology and lifestyle applications and the electric Bronco is significant for Ford in China. Designed to compete directly with local EV manufacturers, India is one of the fastest growing auto markets and in Q1 we launched multiple products including a digital cluster with Hyundai, infotainment with Tata and a center information display with Renault. Hyundai and Tata are already well positioned in India as number two and number three players and Renault has recently made India a cornerstone of its strategy. India today represents nearly 10% of our total sales and these launches position us to grow alongside our customers in what will be a key growth market going forward. In summary, we had a solid start in Q1 with new launches that laid the foundation for growth in the coming quarters and underscore Visteon's role in automakers go to Market strategies worldwide. Turning to page five, we secured approximately $1 billion in new business during the quarter. As expected, customer sourcing in Q1 was somewhat lighter following a strong finish to last year and some display opportunities were shifted into the second quarter. Our product portfolio remains well aligned with key industry trends and our new business opportunity pipeline is strong for the rest of the year. Based on current visibility, we remain on track to achieve our full year target of $6 billion. I would like to highlight a few of the key first quarter wins on this page. In China we secured our third customer for an AI capable cockpit system with SAIC Motor 4 its IM brand SAIC Motor is one of the largest carmakers in China and IM is their new brand targeting the premium car segment. Automakers in China are rapidly adopting AgentIQ AI to enhance in cabin experiences, driving demand for high performance cockpit systems capable of running LLMs and video language models or VLMs using the latest silicon such as Qualcomm's 5th generation Snapdragon chips. These high performance systems also enable greater ECU integration, accelerating the shift towards centralized domain architectures. Importantly, Visteon has established an early mover advantage with three OEM wins in this space more than any other tier one supplier, positioning us very well to take advantage of this emerging trend. Mainstream vehicles will continue to use conventional cockpit domain controllers for affordability reasons with premium vehicles transitioning to AI based cockpits in India, we secured a SmartCore cockpit domain controller WIN with a European OEM for their vehicles for India and other emerging markets. Our first SmartCore win with this customer. The system will power three cockpit displays and support advanced infotainment and entertainment features similar to recent smartcore launches in China and India. Beyond strong product market fit of SmartCore speed was a key competitive differentiator and the main reason for this Win as the start of production of the vehicle is under 12 months. We also expanded our commercial vehicle business by adding a new customer for digital clusters with a US manufacturer of purpose built vehicles for defense delivery and fire in emergency markets. The the 12 inch cluster will feature on their next generation delivery vehicles with production starting in early 2028. Reflecting the growing adoption of digital cockpits in all kinds of commercial vehicles and not just for heavy duty trucks in two wheelers, we expanded our digital cluster program with Honda to additional models representing an incremental $100 million of lifetime sales, further strengthening our engagement with the world's largest two wheeler OEM. In summary, our Q1 performance was highlighted by strategic wins in key markets, reinforcing our technology leadership and supporting a strong pipeline that keeps us on track for our 6 billion full year target. Turning to page 6, China, the world's largest auto market is also the most competitive with intense pricing pressure in budget and mainstream segments which Visteon has strategically avoided to protect profitability. Above mainstream, the market is now evolving beyond electrification into more specialized segments centered on intelligence, luxury and lifestyle. A key area of growth is the emerging premium tech segment as traditional OEMs compete with tech first players such as Tesla and Li Auto with vehicles that combine luxury with advanced technology. OEMs such as Geely, Chery and SAIC, who are amongst the largest in China, are defining their premium brands around the convergence of premium design, immersive digital experiences and most importantly artificial intelligence. The cockpit is at the center of differentiation with agentic AI enabling a new level of in cabin intelligence. Unlike traditional command based systems, AI powered smart cabins can understand user intent, reason through complex tasks and act proactively on behalf of the user for example, instead of manually entering a destination, the system can anticipate and suggest it based on context or what it hears from conversation. It can also translate incoming messages in real time, draft responses with minimal input and answer open ended questions about surroundings, what the driver may be seeing outside the window, for example delivering a far more intuitive and personalized in cabin experience. This level of intelligence requires a step change in computing power to run AI workloads far beyond what current cockpit domain controllers can provide. Visteon was the first Tier 1 supplier to develop a high performance version of SmartCore using the newest 5th generation chip from Qualcomm. We also developed the first Cockpit specific AgentIQ AI software framework Cognito AI to enable the development of use cases. Like I just mentioned, our early investments in AI helped establish Visteon as a preferred partner for carmakers in China for their AI enabled cockpit systems. These next generation systems carry significantly higher content value and the business booked with the three OEMs thus far is already over $1 billion in value. We expect more vehicles to be added to the programs after the initial launches which are happening this year. While China is leading adoption of AI, we see this as a global inflection point. AI will also become a competitive must have in other parts of the world, accelerated by the international expansion of Chinese OEMs and drive the next phase of growth for Visteon. Turning to page seven before wrapping up, let me briefly discuss our outlook for the remainder of the year. Since issuing our guidance, S and P has lowered its global light vehicle production forecast for our customers by approximately 1.5 percentage points, with most of the impact in the second half of the year, the main reason being the Middle east conflict and there could be further downside if the facilities persist for longer than anticipated. Production for our key customers is now expected to decline in the mid single digits year over year. On the supply side, memory remains constrained. A strong demand from AI and data centers limits availability for automotive. Automotive continues to rely on older memory technologies that suppliers are phasing out in favor of newer nodes, creating a structural supply demand imbalance and driving pricing pressure and tightness in supply. We expect this environment to persist through 2027 before easing as new capacity starts to come online. In this environment, we are proactively managing supply by working closely with existing suppliers and qualifying additional sources. We were able to secure sufficient supply in Q1 through proactive actions ensuring no impact on our customers. We expect supply to remain tight throughout the rest of the year, with incremental supply from new sources starting to become more meaningful in the second half of the year. On the positive side, customer demand has remained resilient with Q1 coming in ahead of expectations and Q2 schedules indicating continued strength. Importantly, our key launches remain on track. Taking all this into account and based on current data, we are reaffirming our full year sales guidance despite incremental headwinds in the broader market. We'll continue to closely monitor macro and supply conditions and provide updates as the year progresses. Now I will hand it over to Jerome to discuss financials in more detail.
Jerome Ruquet (Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Thank you Sachin and good morning everyone. We delivered in Q1 a balanced set of financial results in what continues to be a dynamic operating environment. For the quarter, sales were 954 million, a 2% increase from the prior year. We continue to see strong growth with new product launches and benefit from solid commercial execution, partially offset by lower customer production and expected headwinds, including lower BMS sales with GM and the discontinuation of several car lines at Ford. Growth of a market growth was 3% in line with our full year expectations of low single digit outperformance. Adjusted EBITDA was 104 million, representing a margin of 10.9%. As we indicated on the prior call, we expected Q1 to be the low point for EBITDA with improvement throughout the year as we make progress on customer recovery agreements and cost initiatives in the quarter. We were impacted by elevated semiconductor cost and the timing mismatch of customer recoveries. Adjusted free cash flow was negative in the quarter, primarily driven by an increase in working capital, particularly inventory, and a 2025 incentive compensation which was paid in Q1. We continue to execute on our balanced capital allocation strategy, returning 40 million to shareholders with $30 million in share repurchases and 10 million in dividends. We ended the quarter with a strong balance sheet and net cash of 385 million, providing flexibility to deploy capital while navigating the current market environment. Turning to page 10, sales for the quarter were 954 million, an increase of 20 million year over year. Customer production volumes were down 4% while growth of a market growth was 3% when excluding pricing and currency. Compared to our internal expectations a couple of months ago, we benefited from higher customer volumes, better pricing dynamics and additional benefits from EV program commercial settlements. As Sachin already provided details on customer volumes in the quarter, let me provide some additional color on pricing and EV commercial settlements and how they impacted both sales and EBITDA. First, pricing was a headwind of $5 million in the quarter, which was lower than what we typically see as a reminder, pricing in this environment is influenced by several moving pieces. These include annual and discrete price changes with customers, the unwinding or maintaining of surcharges put in place during the prior semiconductor shortage, and more recently, customer recoveries related to memory cost increases. During the first quarter, we were able to mitigate a portion of the elevated semiconductor cost through short term commercial pricing agreements. While we continue to work towards longer term recovery arrangements, we're making good progress on these longer term agreements and we expect that incremental cost will be offset by more permanent recoveries as we move throughout 2026 consistent with the assumptions embedded in our guidance. From an EBITDA perspective, the lower pricing we achieved with customers in the first quarter combined with supplier cost reductions and value engineering activities allowed us to partially mitigate the elevated cost from memory and resourcing actions. The net impact of these commercial activities was a headwind of just over 15 million. Second, the additional benefit to sales from one time settlements primarily related to EV programs was approximately 20 million while the EBITDA was approximately 10 million. As we closed out supplier settlements as well as a reminder, our full year guidance included 10 million of expected one timers from program settlements which was achieved in Q1. With this context, let me provide more color on our year over year Q1 EBITDA bridge. First, let me remind everyone that prior year results included approximately 15 million of one time items which impacts the year over year comparison. Second, as just mentioned, the negative impact from all commercial activities including customer and supplier pricing was a headwind of 15 million. This was partially offset by the benefit of EV settlements that I also highlighted. The remaining year over year decline in EBITDA of approximately 5 million was driven by lower volume unfavorable FX and slightly higher freight and logistics, partially offset by ongoing cost initiatives including vertical integration and engineering productivity. Turning to Page 11, adjusted free cash flow for the quarter was negative 23 million, reflecting the typical seasonality of our business with Q1 generally being one of the lower quarters for cash flow in 2026. This dynamic was more pronounced for a few reasons. First, EBITDA in the quarter was at a low point for the year as expected. Second, we increased inventory levels during the quarter due to normal seasonality, inflation and as a deliberate action to manage supply chain risk and market volatility. And third, the annual incentive compensation payout is in Q1 reflective of the strong performance last year and is reported in the line. Other changes as it relates to the remainder of cash flow items, cash taxes were slightly lower year over year primarily due to lower profitability in the quarter and timing of payments last year. Interest income continued to offset interest expense. Capital expenditures were in line with the prior year and continue to support new program launches. Turning to capital allocation, we deployed 40 million in the quarter through share repurchases and dividends. We ended the quarter with 385 million on net cash and expect to continue deploying capital in a disciplined and balanced manner. Turning to page 12 turning to our outlook, we are reaffirming our full year guidance across all key financial metrics as the strong start of the year will help us offset a softer than expected market setup in the second half of the year. Starting with sales, we continue to expect revenue in the range of 3.625 to 3.825 billion which represents a low single digit growth of a market. This reflects the strength of our product portfolio, strong customer demand in the first half of the year and the continued ramp of recent launches despite the softer than anticipated second half production environment Sachin outlined. Moving to profitability, we continue to expect adjusted EBITDA in the range of 455 million to 495 million which corresponds to a margin of approximately 12.8% at the midpoint. Compared to the first quarter, we expect margins to improve as the year progresses. This is primarily driven by higher customer recoveries as well as the continued impact of our cost initiatives including product costing actions, vertical integration, engineering productivity as well as resource rebalancing across our global footprint. On free cash flow, we continue to expect adjusted free cash flow in the range of 170 to 210 million. That said, we're currently trending towards the lower end of this range. This reflects our plan to maintain higher levels of inventory as we proactively manage supply constraints especially around certain semiconductor and memory components. Importantly, our strong balance sheet provides us with significant flexibility to navigate these dynamics. Maintaining financial strength continues to be a core pillar of our capital allocation philosophy enabling us to invest in a business and return cash to shareholders while managing near term volatility. We plan to provide a more comprehensive update on our longer term capital allocation priorities at our upcoming Investor Day. Turning to page 13, Visteon continues to be a compelling long term investment opportunity. We have spent the last couple of years rebuilding our growth algorithm while executing operationally and commercially throughout a dynamic environment. We remain confident in our long term opportunity and we look forward to sharing more with you at our upcoming Investor Day on June 25th in New York City. Thank you for your time today. I would like now to open the Call for your questions
OPERATOR
at this time. If you would like to ask an audio question, please press Star, then the number one on your telephone keypad again, that is Star and the number one. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q and A roster. Your first question comes from Mark Delaney with Goldman Sachs.
Mark Delaney (Equity Analyst at Goldman Sachs)
Yes, good morning. Thank you for taking the question. I was hoping to start with a question on the demand and production environment. The company spoke in its prepared remarks about S and P lowering its forecast for 2026, driven by the Middle east conflict. Sachin, you said, though, at least for the first half, customer schedules have actually been solid, if not even a bit better than expected. Could you speak a bit more on what Visteon has seen with respect to LVP? As you look into the second half, are you seeing any softening in your own customer conversations and maybe clarify what you're trying to bake into guidance for the year and the 1H to 2H trajectory?
Jerome Ruquet (Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Yeah, thanks, Mark. It's Jerome. Let me answer that question. So we are, as you've heard, we're maintaining our full year guidance for sales and as well for ebitda. Let me give you a little bit of color by quarter. So Q1 came in a little stronger than what we had anticipated. We were also positively impacted by some EV settlements, about $20 million. So it's important to make sure that we don't annualize that 20 million. Q2, even with the Middle east conflict, we do have a pretty strong setup for Q2. We have good visibility on our orders, and I would say that Q2 looks similar to what we had in Q1 from an order standpoint. So pretty robust first half of the year as far as the second half is concerned. We are using S and P and S and P revised the numbers recently and dropped the second half of the year for us by approximately 2%. So a softer setup as we go into the second half, but we do have strong launches that are supposed to come in line in Q3 and Q4, mostly around Toyota as well as the HPC launches. So Overall, a strong H1 with a little bit of a softer H2 than anticipated allows us to stay on guidance for the full year. I must say as well that we still have got a fairly large range this year on sales for the guidance,
Mark Delaney (Equity Analyst at Goldman Sachs)
$1 billion each way. So it allows us to have some leeway as well. Up and down versus the midpoint. That's tough one, Jerome. I mean, just to clarify, when you talk about the softening in 2H and basing it off of what S and P has projected, it doesn't sound like you've actually seen a change in your own customers schedules, Is that correct? It's your. That is correct for Q2 indeed, yes. And we have normally visibility for the next three months. Okay.
Jerome Ruquet (Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
And then my other question was just on memory, the company's guidance had assumed you'd substantially recover the increasing costs in your full year guidance. You spoke a bit around the progress you're making there in the first quarter, but maybe talk about how far along you are in securing those recoveries. And are you still expecting to substantially recover all of the higher semiconductor memory costs for this year's guidance? That's a good, good point. Let me maybe before we even talk about recovery, we should probably talk about supply because if supplies is an issue, recovery may be an issue, which is not our case. But let me hand over to Sachin and then I'll talk again about recoveries.
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
Thanks. Thanks Jerome. So I think this is a point that we probably need to make sure that we express clearly the situation so we can understand what's happening with supply, which obviously has implications on our ability to recover as well. So as you probably are aware, there are two factors that are really driving the supply situation. One is the higher than expected demand for memory. I should say driven by AI for data centers, for smartphones, etc. But very importantly, many of our traditional large memory suppliers are shifting away from the older tech nodes that have been used by automotive to newer tech nodes which also reduces capacity for auto. And this is what has created this imbalance between supply and demand which has lowered availability of memory for industries like auto and others as well, by the way. So I think the impression all of us should have is that there's no segment of the industry that's going to get enough memory in the short term. And obviously that has resulted in higher prices. Now as the smaller suppliers look at this environment, they see this as an opportunity to enter the market for autos, smaller fabs in particular, and we are working with some of them to bring them into our supply base and in fact have managed to secure some supply already for this year. About 10% of our total full year demand this year for the first time will be met by some of these emerging suppliers. One more point that I would like to add is that unlike in the prior semiconductor crisis where the lead times for new capacity to come online were fairly long, over two years, in this case with memories, it's shorter if there's clean room, space available, new capacity can come online in about a year. So that's helpful. And so we believe with more suppliers coming in this situation that we have right now will probably last perhaps into middle of next year, maybe towards the end of next year, and start to get better from there. And that will also help in terms of drawing the prices down as more supply comes into the market. So that's the situation we are dealing with. We have done as a team a very good job of ensuring that none of our customers are impacted in terms of their production for Q1. And we anticipate, with all of the measures that we have in place, working closely with our current suppliers and the new ones, that will be able to mitigate the situation. And although it's going to be tight, we should be in a position to meet the customer demand.
Jerome Ruquet (Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
And then on the, on the recovery. So maybe first on cost. Cost came in, in line with expectation in, in Q1, slightly higher than $20 million.
Mark Delaney (Equity Analyst at Goldman Sachs)
As we had indicated during our last call, in terms of progressing with customers, in terms of negotiations, we've, we've done pretty well. So let me give you a little bit more color then on the overall impact that all this had in Q1. So in Q1 we've reported an outflow of 15 million on what we call our commercial items. So it's the net between our supplier savings and what we give to our customers. Overall, we had anticipated we would have some level of leakage in Q1 as we were obviously working on long term contracts. So what we did just for Q1 was executing very short term commercial agreement with some of our customers. And that helped us mitigate some of these additional costs that we got, plus 20 million, as I just said. So overall progression is going on well with negotiations and we are expecting most of the negotiation to be closed by end of Q2. So we'll see as a result of that some level of catch up in the second quarter. And we are expecting our commercial business equation to be neutral in the second quarter as some of the improvements that we have with our regular suppliers come online. But overall, for the full year, we're maintaining our guidance in terms of recovery. And we are still expecting to have some level of leakage, largely because of the timing issues that we'll have for the full year. Thank you.
OPERATOR
Your next question comes from Colin Langen with Wells Fargo.
Jerome Ruquet (Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Oh great. Thanks for taking my questions. Just to follow up on this issue. So you have over 20 million in costs, but you had 15 million of recoveries. You got something close to 75% recoveries already and then you expect to have that caught up in Q2. Does that mean we get a little additional boost already in Q2 from recovery timing? Yes, Colin. That's Jerome.
Colin Langen (Equity Analyst at Wells Fargo)
Correct. So we've had this 15 million leakage and we like to combine what we're giving to customers with what we're getting from suppliers, in some cases increases, obviously. So we look at this holistically. We're negotiating, I would say, with customers the full pricing package with them. So that includes not only the annual price reduction, it includes as well the legacy recoveries from prior chip shortages as well as now the new memory cost increases that we're passing on to customers. So we are expecting this leakage of 15 million to be neutral in the second half of the year and then slightly improve as we go in Q3 and Q4, so that we have a minimal leakage for the full year, as I indicated, per our guidance. Okay, I think I actually had that wrong.
Jerome Ruquet (Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
So it's 15. You have like about a third is recovered in the quarter, but you expect. Does that all jump back? Does that 15 become a positive in Q2? Sorry, it does, yes, it does, absolutely. So it does become positive in Q2 and it will improve even slightly better. It will improve slightly in Q3 and Q4 for a slight negative for the full year. Got it.
Colin Langen (Equity Analyst at Wells Fargo)
And then the guide for the year is low single digit growth over market. You made it abundantly clear that the first half was going to be really tough with roll offs and the BMS. But you still did 3% in Q1. You know, why not? You know, is mid single now more likely as we go through the year given you have highlighted pretty strong second half launches.
Jerome Ruquet (Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
Yes, I would say Q1 came in pretty close to our expectations. We had not given guidance per quarter. So 3% was generally in line with the mid. The low single digit for the full year. We're expecting to hold that performance pretty much throughout the year. And we're expecting all regions to perform pretty well, maybe with the exception of the Americas, largely because of the BMS situation, but overall a pretty consistent growth of market throughout the year.
Colin Langen (Equity Analyst at Wells Fargo)
All right, thanks for taking my question.
OPERATOR
Your next question comes from Emmanuel Roessner with Wolff Research.
Emmanuel Roessner (Equity Analyst at Wolff Research)
Great, thank you so much. Appreciate all the color on the memory supply and discussion and trying to de risk the outlook. Just curious, as we sort of like start looking into next year and you speak to OEMs about trying to mitigate the risk of disruptions, are there any conversations around potential sort of like decontenting or using essentially less memory or solutions that are that use less of it. And I'm also curious on the pricing side or the recovery side, the nature of the longer term agreements that you're working on with the OEMs, would those essentially allow ongoing pass through even into next year if the DRAM costs keep rising?
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
Yeah. So let me take that manual. So on the first topic we are not actually seeing any interest in decontenting and the discussions have been mostly around how do we secure enough supply for 2027. Now as you can imagine, most of the time thus far has been gone into securing supply for this year and there's still a lot of activity as I've just mentioned on my previous comment. But as we start to think about 2027 we are working with all of our suppliers, the ones traditional suppliers plus the new ones that we are bringing online. And as I mentioned, I think the supply next year will largely depend on our ability to enough quantity of parts from these newer suppliers that are emerging largely because of the fact that many of the existing larger suppliers to automotive are shifting their technologies to newer technologies. So that dynamic has to be managed first and foremost and that's what we are focused on. We expect that over the course of this year and maybe towards Q3 we should be in a position to have supply secured for next year. In terms of pricing negotiations that we are currently having, I think they are kind of different by different customers. Some of them are signing up for a multi year pricing agreement so it's going into the piece price essentially and some are preferring to have annual pricing negotiations. So it will depend on each customer in terms of how they address it. Understood.
Emmanuel Roessner (Equity Analyst at Wolff Research)
And then can you talk a little bit more about the expected ramp up in launches in the second half?
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
I know you just spoke about the growth of a market holding on, but how should we think about this in relation to your comments about oh I guess S&P's outlook but weaker volume is. Do you have a good sense that this should not really affect ramp curve? Yes, yes I think so because and this was also evident in Q1, a lot of our performance was driven by new launches, not so much the underlying vehicle production environment of the carmakers. And a lot of our launches this year, the high value ones are in the second half and in fact they're ramping up in Q4. So in terms of the total number of launches this year looks a lot like last year. I would say even a few more launches this year than last year. But there are some that are Very consequential, especially the ones with Toyota and the HPC launches that we spent quite a bit of time on in our prepared remarks. Those are pretty high value, although their real ramp up begins in Q4. So contribution this year is still relatively small but meaningful. And this is all is what is helping us offset what we have seen thus far as the reduction in vehicle production. I do believe if the environment hopefully stabilizes, especially in the Middle east, that if we go forward from here, that may be a potential benefit to us if the underlying vehicle production holds up at this point in time. It's too early to say whether this growth over market will improve from here, but it's been a really good start to the year. Q2 looks pretty strong and so the second half, considering where we're at at the beginning of the year, we'll have to wait and see as we proceed here how that develops.
Emmanuel Roessner (Equity Analyst at Wolff Research)
Perfect, thank you.
OPERATOR
Your next question comes from the line of Winnie Dong with Deutsche Bank.
Winnie Dong (Equity Analyst at Deutsche Bank)
Hi, thanks so much for taking my question. My first one is on the new business win of 1 billion for the quarter. For context, would you mind giving us some, I guess, color on whether this is typical of seasonality or whether you're seeing any sort of push out decisions in terms of wins. And then secondly in terms of the growth drivers in 2027 and beyond, perhaps you can tease your investor day in June a little bit and outline some big buckets of drivers there that we can look forward to. Thank you.
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
Yeah, so the first quarter was expected to be a little lighter given that we had a pretty strong finish to last year and we also had, as I mentioned, a few display opportunities that got pushed out into Q2, about 3 to $400 million worth. So I would say even with that, it might be considered a little light but pretty, I would say normal for first quarter in terms of seasonality of new business wins. Now if you look at the pipeline for the remainder of the year, I would say again, much like new business wins, even in terms of much like the new product launches, new business wins also look very similar to 2025 in aggregate, but the mix is different. The product mix and the regional mix are both different. 2025 we had, I would say, even number of value for displays and cockpit electronics. This year we are seeing more opportunities for cockpit electronics and also more in Asia. And the display opportunities this year are more evenly spread between Europe as well as Americas. So overall we are pretty pleased with what we see as new business opportunities in this environment. And we expect this year to look similar to last year in total in terms of the value of new business wins. To your second question, we do want to leave something for our investor day to share with you, but I think that the main drivers that you are referring to there are going to be the new products that we have won and that we are launching that we have been discussing quite a bit in our earnings calls over the last few quarters. So displays obviously will have a very big role to play in our growth given the high winds that we've had in the last few quarters, which will be coming into production here very soon. HPCs, simply because of the very high content value, will also have a very meaningful impact. And then the other growth drivers that we have talked about, Toyota, targeted customers and then two wheelers and commercial vehicles. What's interesting about our growth profile here is that we are not relying on just one or two things for us to be able to make our numbers. We have a number of things that are in play that are all growing. So we have a lot more confidence that we will be able to achieve that, even the diversification that we have.
Winnie Dong (Equity Analyst at Deutsche Bank)
Thank you so much for the caller. Thanks.
OPERATOR
Your next question comes from Joe Speck with ubs.
Joe Speck (Equity Analyst at UBS)
Thanks everyone. Sachin, sorry to go back to memory, but just one more point on this. Like my understanding is some of that additional supply that's coming online is from China, so I just want to make sure your customers are okay with that. And I thought I heard you mention that you already secured about 10% of this year's supply from these new sources. So why would it not be at least at that level or if not better for next year?
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
Yeah. To answer your second question first, absolutely, we don't see that it should not be better than that. We absolutely expect it to be better. And the question is by how much and to what extent? So we to give you some sense of the number of different memory chips that we buy, we buy about, I would say about 60 different types of chips that go into the DRAM category. Then there are also nand, Flash, EMMC and UFS as well as Nor not to confuse you, but just the point is that there are many different types of memories in different densities that we need. And typically very few of these suppliers are able to offer you all of the parts that you need. So we have to have a mix of suppliers. They tend to have their strengths in specific categories. And that's the sort of process that we have been going through, identifying these suppliers, building relationships and starting supply so that we can test their Parts, qualify them and then introduce them in our customers production. So that's the current situation with supply. And I believe that going back to your first part of the question, do you mind repeating your first part? Just if customers are okay with some
Joe Speck (Equity Analyst at UBS)
of the new sources coming online from China?
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
Yeah, yeah. So in this environment where there is shortage of parts, there's absolutely no problem with that. And so the first thing is to make sure that we have the production secured. Obviously they would like it to be none China based if there is availability. But in this environment we do not see that as a problem.
Joe Speck (Equity Analyst at UBS)
Okay. I guess the second question, Jerome, just on capital allocation, I know you said you know more details on the long term plan at the analyst day. You did buy back 30 million this quarter. I think that means you've got like 45 left on the utilization. I know you said last quarter you could do about 100 million. You also earmarked about 300 million from a sort of. I guess I'm just wondering if there's any sort of change to that thinking with some of the comments you made about free cash flow or the pipeline or even really the current share price and could we expect an increase in authorization? Because it does seem like you're coming to the end there.
OPERATOR
Right. So generally no, nothing has changed. And we had highlighted that it was up to 300 million for M&A, up to 150 for share repurchases. With the cash balance that we have at the end of Q1, even with potentially tracking towards the low end of the range for adjusted free cash flow for this year, we could still do everything. So we're still very focused on M and A and will continue as well to return in a no. 40 opportunistic manner cash to shareholders with share repurchases as well as continue on our on our dividends. But overall nothing has fundamentally changed in terms of our philosophy. Thank you. Your next question is from Dan Levy with Barclays.
Dan Levy (Equity Analyst at Barclays)
Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Wanted to just first double click on the growth dynamics and we saw negative growth in China in the first quarter. Maybe you could just unpack some of the mix dynamics where I would have assumed that with the lower end of the market underperforming, the higher end outperforming, that would have helped you. And then is the view that you can still get that positive growth for the full year with the launches in 2H enough to sort of bring you up positive growth?
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
Yeah. So let me take that. So if you see what has happened in China as you mentioned, lower growth in vehicle production in the more price sensitive segments and I would say better performance, but not necessarily a lot of growth in the upper end of the market. That is certainly more helpful to us. I do want to also mention at the same time there is the headwind of the market share loss of the global OEMs that is still ongoing. So it's not all good news necessarily. So the new launches so far have been largely offsetting what we saw as declines with our traditional global OEMs. And therefore for Q1 it was kind of even in terms of our performance in vehicle production as we go forward, especially with the HPC launches, I believe we will start to see growth relative to production in China and that will continue and have more of a step function next year as those launches get into production, ramp up. Okay, great. Thank you.
Dan Levy (Equity Analyst at Barclays)
And then as a follow up, sorry, I know we keep on getting questions on the DRAM here, but on a longer term basis, is there any ability for you to transition your products to be using DDR5 to address some of the supply issues or is your point that these newer Chinese suppliers are going to be more than enough to offset some of the large suppliers that are eventually phasing out DDR4 and so longer term this issue will be addressed by these other smaller suppliers?
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
No, that's a great question. And let me just also take a step back. So when you look at a technology like DDR4 versus DDR5, the 5 is not backwards compatible with 4. And these memories typically are interfaced to a Micro or a SOC or a system on a chip. And that Micro or SOC needs to have the capability to be able to be interfaced to a DDR5 for us to move to DDR5. Now the majority of the micros used in the industry for the cockpit are not capable of being interfaced with DDR5. So that's, that's one point, right? So that transition has to happen. The evolution of the micros and SoCs that are used for cockpit which come from suppliers such as Qualcomm or NXP and others, they, they have to be able to provide this SOCs that has to be then other changes because they're not going to just introduce a single change like moving from DDR4 to DDR5. So it's a bigger change. And a bigger change typically requires longer time for automotive. So that's, that's one dynamic. Now what we are seeing though is the higher end CDCs and HPCs already use DDR5. So what this might do is to push the industry faster towards CDCs, upper end CDCs and HPCs, simply because of the shift in the underlying technologies. Now DDR5 will come at a density that is fundamentally a step higher than DDR4. So we'll be able to do more with this processing power and memory that's going to be available, which I think will accelerate the trend towards more integrated cockpit domain controllers and eventually central domain controllers like the hpc. So we believe that this trend in some ways is going to push the industry to adopt more content simply because it will be cheaper to do it that way than to stay with older technologies with more function specific, feature specific implementations. Great, thank you.
OPERATOR
Your next question is from Luke Junk with Baird.
Luke Junk (Equity Analyst at Baird)
Good morning. Thanks for taking questions. First question session. Just curious to get some perspective on what you mentioned as the early mover advantage in each. I think you said your 3 wins are more than any other tier 1 supplier. Just hoping we could double click maybe on the competitive landscape on a relative basis and then given the award this morning that you announced that's launching within a year or so, I think you said within 12 months. Just the near term pipeline for maybe adding additional awards, including maybe additional vehicles with your current customers.
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
Thank you. Yeah, no thanks, Luke. So we have three customers that are launching this year, as I mentioned, and they're all launching initially on their flagship vehicles, but at the same time lining up vehicles following that initial launch that we are in discussions with them on which will extend this business. So that has been one of the sort of new learnings for us as well. When we were first discussing AI and hpc, say about a year ago, our thought was that it was more limited in application to perhaps just the very top end, the flagship vehicles. But the competitive dynamics now in the China market with what's happening, especially with the emerging premium tech segment that I discussed, that's really driving more volume to adopt AI as one of the key foundational capabilities of the cockpit of those vehicles. So we actually see that market grow quite rapidly starting in China. And because of exports, we expect that technology to start to make impact in other regions, probably starting with Europe initially before it comes to other parts of the world.
Luke Junk (Equity Analyst at Baird)
Helpful. And then Jerome, maybe just hoping to make sure we're calibrating the launch cadence right in the back half of the year. I guess two specific things in that first would be in terms of the high compute launches, any initial demand indications. I know there's a level of variability just on the demand for the vehicles themselves. And then you also made the comment about the Fortune Flexion. Was that mainly a Toyota related comment or is there some China cloud that we need to understand there as well?
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
Thinking so go ahead. I was about to say we are using IHS for the HPC launches and these have been holding pretty well compared to what we had initially guided to. So no major changes. Sachin, do you want to take the second? Yeah. In general, on the cadence itself, what I would say is that there has been no change on the launch plans. And in terms of the volumes as well, we have been very focused on ensuring that we have supply of components because the lead times as you can imagine, especially with this third win, has been extremely short. So I would say for now, look, the focus is on ensuring that we can launch and achieve the ramp volume that we have for this year, which has remained pretty steady. There's been no change and if anything, depending upon availability of supply, that may be the ability to increase it. But given where we stand with lead times and so on, I would, I think that would be a fairly big challenge for us to accomplish. Got it.
Luke Junk (Equity Analyst at Baird)
I'll leave it there. Thank you.
OPERATOR
Next question is from Tom Narrion with RBC.
Tom Narrion
I think taking the question, just two quick follow ups. The first one on the the 300 million ma. I know in the past you've said this, this is likely tuck ins, but just curious, is there a reason why this is being prioritized now? Is it because you're seeing deals kind of at attractive pricing? Is it something that you see that works well with what you're trying to achieve now versus later? Yeah, yeah.
Sachin Lawande (President and Chief Executive Officer)
So yes, in some parts, but it's really more driven by how we see the trends emerge in the industry. There's a very big trend towards a software driven, more integrated domain controller approach for these vehicles and that requires that you have all of the software capabilities to implement those features. And that's the primary driver of trying to secure those capabilities. That would allow us to offer more and more integrated domain controllers. Eventually we see a certain level of ADAs also getting integrated with Cockpit as features like AEB become mandated in all jurisdictions. It's already a mandate in Europe. In 2028 and 29, China and US will follow and as standard requirements, OEMs will not be able to price for them, they will be essentially part of the standard equipment. So we expect more and more features to get standardized or de facto required and therefore integrated. And the cost is going to be a prime driver and that will drive greater levels of integration. So that's one thing. The second thing that's driving our M and A strategy is the fact that all of these technologies that are emerging very rapidly, coming from mainstream tech industries and impacting automotive at a pace that's been faster than ever before. We see opportunity for offering services, outsourced R and D services, expert services to help OEMs define how to use those technologies in their vehicles. And what we're finding now, your question, we're finding these opportunities, these companies that have a lot of depth of expertise, but they don't necessarily have the scale. And we believe that we can provide that scaling ability to this company, to its companies, help the OEMs, and in turn that helps us make our platform more future proof. And so it's got that virtuous cycle where us engaging in advanced technology activities with OEMs helps us understand how to keep our platforms competitive and in time for the market. Introduction. So that's the second and the third driver of MA is always been vertical integration. And we have been very successful with that so far. And we want to continue to take it forward as we see opportunities to bring more of the manufacturing value content into our plants rather than to rely on an extended supply chain, which eventually also helps us counter this request that we get from customers to be less dependent on China and other parts of the world where we are today, perhaps more exposed than we should be.
Tom Narrion
Got it. Thanks. A very robust answer.
Jerome Ruquet (Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
And then, Jerome, just to clarify, the guidance being maintained despite the S and P cutting, and was it that the Q1 coming in ahead of your expectations, was that the main driver of being able to do that? Correct? Yes. Along as well with some good visibility and robust orders that we see for the second quarter. But you're absolutely correct.
Tom Narrion
Okay, got it.
OPERATOR
This concludes our earnings call for the
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