Revised 2026 Full-Year Guidance
Based on the Company's year-to-date 2026 results and outlook for the remainder of the year including the aforementioned termination notice, Verra Mobility is revising its 2026 full-year financial outlook to the following:
- Total Revenue of $985 million to $995 million
- Adjusted EBITDA of $380 million to $385 million
- Adjusted EPS of $1.19 to $1.25
- Free Cash Flow of $140 million to $150 million
Underlying Assumptions for 2026 Full-Year Guidance
- Weighted average fully diluted share count expected to be approximately 155 million shares for the full-year 2026
- Effective tax rate (including state taxes) is expected to be 28.0% to 29.0%, with approximately $50 million in total cash taxes expected to be paid in 2026. The effective tax rate for non-GAAP adjustments is provided in the Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted Net Income and Calculation of Adjusted EPS in our most recent earnings press release dated May 6, 2026.
- Depreciation and amortization expense expected to be approximately $125 million for 2026
- Total interest expense, net expected to be approximately $62 million, of which approximately $60 million is expected to be net cash interest paid
- Change in working capital (change in operating assets and liabilities) is expected to be zero for 2026
- Capital expenditures (purchases of installation and service parts and property and equipment) are expected to be approximately $125 million for 2026 relating primarily to camera installations and MOSAIC implementation.
The Company currently expects the termination to reduce Commercial Services' 2026 annualized revenue by approximately $135 million to $145 million and 2026 annualized segment profit by approximately $120 million to $125 million, before taking into account expected cost reduction initiatives.
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