Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI) held its third-quarter earnings conference call on Wednesday. Below is the complete transcript from the call.
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Watch the full earnings call below:
Summary
Analog Devices reported a record $4.02 billion in revenue for Q3 FY2026, marking an 11% sequential and 40% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand across all markets, particularly in data center and industrial sectors.
The company's strategic focus on AI, infrastructure, and energy systems, including investments in grid-to-chip solutions and hybrid manufacturing networks, has bolstered its market position and growth prospects.
CEO Vincent Roesch highlighted the growing demand for high-performance power management and optical connectivity, with expectations of continued strong growth in data center and energy sectors through 2030.
The company successfully closed its acquisition of Empower Semiconductor for $1.5 billion, enhancing its power management capabilities.
Q4 revenue guidance is set at $4.3 billion, with an expected operating margin of 52% and adjusted EPS of $3.86, reflecting continued confidence in capturing cyclical and secular tailwinds in AI and related markets.
Full Transcript
OPERATOR
Good morning and welcome to the Analog Devices third quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings conference call, which is being audio webcast via telephone and over the web. I'd now like to introduce your host for today's call, Mr. Jeff Ambrose, Head of Investor Relations. Sir, the floor is yours.
Jeff Ambrose, Head of Investor Relations
Thank you, Danny, and good morning, everybody. Thank you for joining our third quarter fiscal 2026 conference call. Joining me today is ADI CEO and Chair Vincent Roesch and ADI CFO Richard Puccio. For anyone who missed the release, you can find it at investor.analog.com along with related financial schedules. The information we're about to discuss includes forward-looking statements, which are subject to certain risks and uncertainties as further described in our earnings release, periodic reports, and other materials filed with the SEC.
Actual results could differ materially from the forward-looking information as these statements reflect our expectations only as of the date of this call. We undertake no obligation to update these statements except as required by law. References to gross margin, operating and non-operating expenses, operating margin, tax rate, earnings per share, and free cash flow in our comments today will be on a non-GAAP basis, which excludes special items when comparing our results to our historical performance.
Special items are also excluded from prior periods. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measures and additional information about our non-GAAP measures are included in today's earnings release. References to earnings per share are on a fully diluted basis, and with that I will turn the call over to ADI CEO and Chair Vincent Roesch.
Vincent Roche, CEO
Thank you, Jeff, and a very good morning to you all. Well, as you've seen, third quarter revenue, margin, and earnings all exceeded our outlook, with growth across all of our end markets led by data center and industrial, propelling us to the first $4 billion quarter in Analog Devices' history. Demand for our solutions continues to grow, supported by robust AI and defense spending, cyclical momentum, and underlying secular content growth across our diversified end markets.
Through targeted R&D, we continue to extend the limits of technology performance and accelerate the pace with which we are delivering more comprehensive solutions to our customers' toughest problems. In tandem, investments in our hybrid manufacturing network have enabled us to increase the agility and responsiveness of our supply chain and consistently capture above seasonal growth for more than two years now. For the rest of my remarks today, I'll focus on how we're helping customers meet unprecedented and still accelerating demand for AI, infrastructure, and energy systems.
The fact that data center capacity is now measured in gigawatts rather than flops and TOPS underscores one of the most defining challenges of the AI era: power availability has become the primary constraint to further AI progress. Solving this challenge requires more than simply adding more energy, however. It demands a grid-to-chip system-level approach that encompasses both improving the availability and delivery of energy and extracting the maximum computing power from every watt delivered.
Now let me walk you through some of the key elements of our grid-to-chip strategy, starting at the grid where the AI bottleneck begins. As electricity networks become more complex, visibility, efficiency, and resilience are becoming critical challenges. Customers are turning to Analog Devices' grid monitoring solutions to illuminate the flow of energy across the network, providing real-time insight into voltage, current, power quality, and system health.
And our higher-value solutions are helping utilities, energy operators, and infrastructure providers to improve efficiency, reliability, and utilization. An increasingly essential part of the grid, and one of the fastest-growing sectors, is energy storage. Here, customers choose Analog Devices' industry-leading battery management technology to help maximize usable energy, improve system efficiency, extend battery life, enhance safety, and, of course, improve ROI.
Expanding and modernizing the traditional grid alone, however, is not enough to keep pace with the speed of AI infrastructure deployment. To accelerate time to power, hyperscalers are increasingly exploring dedicated microgrids, which are opening up additional avenues of growth for Analog Devices. We believe this trend of localizing power will augment our $500 million-plus energy business, which began inflecting in 2025 and has been delivering accelerating growth this year.
Also importantly, our strong and growing positions across both energy and data center make us a more critical AI ecosystem player, spanning the entire electricity value chain from generation, transmission, and storage to distribution through rack power and ultimately processor power delivery, essentially the vascular system of the data center. Now, once the grid makes contact with the data center, AI's extreme energy and information density requirements make Analog Devices' deep expertise and innovation in high-performance power management, sensing and telemetry, as well as optical connectivity, even more critical.
So let me start with our optical franchise as I begin to unpack for you how we're growing our data center business and opportunity by helping our customers resolve the tremendous challenges of energy and information density. When we think about the journey of data through the infrastructure, there are two critical pathways: the data path of electro-optics and the control path, which guides, optimizes, and ensures the integrity of the data path. Our focus is on the control path, where we've been setting and extending the industry's performance envelope for decades.
Today, the complexity of efficiently moving data at ever higher speeds within and between racks and across data center campuses is growing exponentially. Customers are increasingly relying on Analog Devices to provide essential timing, power management, data conversion, monitoring, and control capabilities that enable lasers and transceivers to operate with precision, reliably, efficiently, and at the necessary scale for AI workloads. And as customers seek to further increase the amount of optical lanes, signal bandwidth, or both to accelerate network speeds from 800 gig to 3.2 terabits per second, we believe that we're very well positioned to benefit threefold from unit growth in pluggables and coherent light modules, increasing BOM content, and greater share as these transitions unfold. As new architectures such as optical circuit switching and co-packaged optics gain traction, and in next-generation large-scale AI clusters, complexity expands even further and our long-term opportunity continues to grow. Based on current design wins and customer commitments, our OCS revenue is poised to approximately double this year, and we're targeting a similar level of growth in '27.
In the nascent CPO space, which we view as a semic spender, the criticality of Analog Devices' precision control technology further increases as thermal and serviceability challenges rise. So in short, the combination of market growth, expanding content, increasing share, and differentiated value creation across data center optics reinforces our confidence that this segment will remain a strong growth vector for Analog Devices over the coming years.
Now let me turn to our power franchise. The need for customers to convert and deliver precise, increasing levels of power at the rack and compute layers efficiently and safely is driving continued broad-based growth across our portfolio. Customers are leveraging Analog Devices' products and solutions to push for greater than 98% conversion efficiencies, multi-kilowatt power delivery with peak power levels up to 2 times the rated load, and comprehensive protection, telemetry, and fault recording capabilities that enhance system reliability and maximize uptime.
To put just one of those differentiators in context, the 1% difference between 97% and 98% efficiency may not sound like very much, but a 97% conversion efficiency loses roughly 50% more energy through heat than a 98% solution over time. Of course, that difference compounds in terms of the need for additional cooling infrastructure, stress on equipment, and operating costs, and we believe our opportunity will continue to grow substantially as power density demands of AI clusters continue to increase.
The industry's architectural transition toward 800-volt DC power distribution, for example, plays directly into Analog Devices' power management expertise and portfolio. And we're seeing a significant design-in uptick for our protection and 800-volt to intermediate power conversion technologies, which can deliver 20 kilowatts of power at industry-leading power densities exceeding 2.5 kilowatts per cubic inch. And at the intermediate-to-core conversion layer, which is one of the fastest and largest growing analog opportunities in the AI era, our combination of advanced power conversion, intelligent system control, and real-time telemetry is critical to achieving the necessary power density, efficiency, and reliability requirements for next-generation processors to operate at 6,000 amps and sub-1 voltage. Our Empower acquisition further enhances Analog Devices' vertical power story by enabling us to take power into the processor package itself. In large-scale AI deployments, these architectural advantages can reduce compute power consumption and temperature by approximately 10% to 15%, which equates to roughly $30 million in annual savings in a 1-gigawatt data center.
As with optical, our power pipeline is growing rapidly, and the direction and rate of our R&D investments reflects our belief in the size of the SAM opportunity before us and our confidence that data center power can remain a strong growth vector for Analog Devices over the coming years. So in summary, we believe the architectural shifts underpinning the evolving AI era are increasing Analog Devices' role as a critical partner across the grid-to-chip ecosystem and driving extraordinary opportunity.
Our current assessment is that our 2030 data center and energy SAM has more than doubled from what we had envisioned just one year ago. This dramatic expansion is not simply a function of increased AI infrastructure capex; it reflects the impact of new markets and architectures that require orders of magnitude more analog content delivered via higher-value solutions. Stepping back to frame this growth on the larger landscape of Analog Devices' continued evolution, grid-to-chip is but one facet of the first generation of AI characterized by applications largely focused on data centers.
The A2E growth we've recently spoke to on these calls is yet another facet. As great as the impact of Generation 1 AI has been so far for Analog Devices, however, we continue to believe that the bigger prize may be in the second generation as AI extends its reach from the data center to the physical world in the form of pervasive robotics, digital health, autonomous mobility, and so on and so forth. In this now-emerging phase, AI must not only support higher-level learning and analytics, but also real-time sensing, inference, and responsiveness to complex real-world signals.
Our ability to tackle this challenge through our products and solutions—edge-based reasoning informed by deep physical intelligence—will extend our AI value proposition across the entire addressable space. We're able to pursue this horizon of AI opportunity as a result of the tremendous optionality built into Analog Devices' business model, which is designed to support both upside growth asymmetry as well as cyclical downside resiliency. This optionality is founded by leveraging our cutting-edge technology stack and domain expertise at the electrophysical interface, as well as long-term partnerships with our customers.
Our success in AI to date is the latest proof point, and I believe the best is yet to come. And with that, I will hand it over to Rich.
Richard Puccio, CFO
Thank you, Vince, and let— Let me add my welcome to our third quarter earnings call. Revenue in the third quarter was $4.02 billion, finishing above the high end of our outlook, increasing 11% sequentially and 40% year over year. Growth was broad based across markets and regions. Industrial, which represented 49% of our third quarter revenue, finished up 10% sequentially and 53% year over year. We saw year-over-year growth across all our industrial businesses led by ATE, electronic test and measurement, aerospace and defense, and automation.
Automotive represented 25% of revenue, finishing up 14% sequentially and 16% year over year. Our higher content and share positions globally continue to result in growth well above SAAR. We are seeing diversified strength across customers and products in key secular growth areas including next-gen ADAS and infotainment systems and also in electric powertrains. Communications represented 16% of revenue, finishing up 18% sequentially and 84% year over year.
Data center, which now accounts for 80% of our communications revenue, continued to accelerate with more than 100% year-over-year growth in both optical and power. In wireless, we delivered more than 25% year-over-year growth as we continue to execute against cyclical tailwinds. Lastly, consumer represented 10% of quarterly revenue, flat sequentially and up 6% year over year. Our diversified consumer business showed strong resilience despite memory-driven challenges.
We achieved year-over-year growth across smartphones, hearables, and wearables, and saw accelerated growth in our B2B-like prosumer franchise. Now onto the rest of the P&L. Third quarter gross margin was 72.5%, down 50 basis points sequentially and up 330 basis points on a year-over-year basis, driven by higher revenue, utilization, and favorable mix. OPEX in the quarter was $907 million, resulting in an operating margin at the high end of our outlook of 50%, which is up 100 basis points sequentially and 780 basis points year over year, driven by improved gross margin and execution discipline.
Non-operating expenses were $69 million and the tax rate for the quarter was 13.1%. All told, EPS finished at the high end of our outlook for a record $3.45, up 12% sequentially and 68% year over year. Now I'd like to highlight a few items from our balance sheet and cash flow statements. Cash and short-term investments decreased to $2.3 billion driven by the successful closing of our Empower Semiconductor acquisition on July 7th, where we paid $1.5 billion in an all-cash transaction.
Our net leverage ratio now sits at 0.9. We increased inventory $83 million sequentially as we continued to build strategic die bank to support accelerating demand. We exited fiscal Q3 with record balance sheet inventory and increased inventory at our distributors. Despite the increases, our days declined to 156 and channel weeks fell below our 6- to 7-week target over the trailing 12 months. Operating cash flow and CapEx were $5.5 billion and $0.6 billion, respectively.
We continue to expect fiscal 26 CapEx to be within our long-term model of 4% to 6% of revenue. Free cash flow over the trailing 12 months was a record $4.9 billion, or 36% of revenue. Over that same period, we returned more than 100% to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. As a reminder, the durability and strength of our financial model allows us to target 100% free cash flow return over the long term, aiming to use 40% to 60% to support our annual dividend and the remainder for share count reduction.
Now moving on to our fourth quarter outlook. Revenue is expected to be $4.3 billion, plus or minus $100 million. Operating margin at the midpoint is expected to be 52%, plus or minus 100 basis points. We expect non-operating expenses of approximately $80 million and a tax rate of 12% to 14%. Based on these inputs, adjusted EPS is expected to be $3.86, plus or minus 15 cents. In closing, our record results and outlook underscore our ability to capitalize on cyclical and secular tailwinds across the AI ecosystem, defense, core industrial, and automotive markets.
We will continue to balance execution discipline with strategic growth investments to navigate a dynamic macro and geopolitical environment while delivering on our attractive financial model. With that, I'll give it back to Jeff for Q&A.
Jeff Ambrose, Head of Investor Relations
Thank you, Rich. Now let's get to our Q&A session. We ask that you limit yourself to one question in order to allow for additional participants on the call this morning. If you have a follow-up, please requeue and we'll take your question if time allows. With that, operator, can we have our first question please?
OPERATOR
For those participating by telephone, if you have a question, please press star 11 on your phone to enter the queue. If your question has been answered and you wish to be removed from the queue, please press star 11 again. If you are listening on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset when asking your question. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Harlan Sur with J.P. Morgan. Your line is open.
Harlan Sur, Analyst at J.P. Morgan
Good morning and congratulations on the continued solid execution. On the strong operating margin guidance and therefore strong implied gross margins, I'm sort of rolling up to about 73.5% gross margins for October, 100 basis points improvement. Your utilizations are already at high levels. You've talked about mix and volume as the primary drivers going forward. Are these two dynamics driving most of the 100-basis-points-plus step-up in gross margins in October?
Or is the team implementing more price increases beyond the actions that you took at the beginning of the year, and this is also maybe contributing to the strong gross margin profile as well?
Richard Puccio, CFO
Thanks for the question, Harlan. I'll take this one. So, as we described for Q3, gross margin came in as expected. We are actually expecting a gross margin increase of about 150 bps to about 74%. And you were spot on. This is driven by favorable mix, higher fixed-cost absorption, obviously following the higher revenue, and our price adjustments. If we look to the medium term, I'd remind you that we do have a seasonal shutdown coming up in our first quarter, which does create some drag on gross margin, and we are expecting more cost increases coming.
Inflation is still a persistent factor. That said, the full extent of our price action, which has been announced, is not captured in Q4. So we will get a full quarter of shipments in Q1 with some trailing impact as we review contracts. So overall we see gross margin hanging in at the Q4 exit level as long as we maintain the revenue and mix that we expect.
Jeff Ambrose, Head of Investor Relations
Thank you, Harlan. Move to our next question, please.
OPERATOR
Thank you. Our next question comes from Vivek Arya with BofA Securities. Your line is open.
Vivek Arya, Analyst at BofA Securities
Thanks for taking my question, Vince. I'm very interested to hear your thoughts about fiscal 27. You know, if I look over the last two years, Analog Devices' top line has accelerated I think almost every quarter on a year-on-year basis. How much of that do you think has been kind of secular? How much of that has been cyclical? How much of that has been pricing? If I were to just take your Q4 outlook midpoint and just assume normal seasonality, it suggests at least a 20% or so plus growth year into fiscal 27.
So just curious to hear what your high-level thoughts are. Are there any areas of constraint? And if I could, you know, seeking something related to that, is there more operating leverage left if indeed your top line were to grow 20%? Thank you.
Vincent Roche, CEO
Well, we'll take the rest of the call. We've answered those questions. So what I'll say is let me unpack a little bit of the story and then Rich can add some of his own commentary as well. Since we called the bottom in 2Q24, we've seen our particular strengths manifest through the following kind of areas. We're clearly a beneficiary of the defense and the AI supercycles, which I think will persist for many, many years to come. Who knows what the trajectories will look like.
But right now the aerospace and defense, the ATE, and data center businesses, they're about 30% of ADI, and our portfolio is exposed and I think poised for greater growth and more content and more share gains. Although of course we're gaining share right across the spectrum of the car types, the combustion as well as EVs. Also in consumer, we turned a corner in consumer two or three years ago and we're seeing both content and share gains there right across the high end, mid- to high-end smartphone, gaming, hearables, wearables, and so on and so forth.
I've mentioned several times before as well the Maxim synergies. We had said our expectation when we announced the acquisition of Maxim that we would generate a billion dollars' worth of synergies. Well, we're well on track. We'll generate about $700 million this year, and I expect that we'll hit a billion plus in 27 as well. So I think as well the overall cyclical tailwind is also very, very strong across the board, and given the breadth of our portfolio, that lifts all the boats, aside from the asymmetric tailwinds that we have.
And as Rich talked a little bit about as well, we've got a very favorable backdrop in terms of pricing. So I think we've capitalized on the vectors of growth, and I think our portfolio is more critical than ever to our customers. I will point out as well that our lead times are in good shape. As Rich said, we're sitting on record inventories, but at the same time our inventories are very intentionally placed, built in place, and that's thanks to the manufacturing agility that we've built in with our hybrid model and that we continue to extend the scope of.
So Rich, maybe you'll want to add a little more color.
Richard Puccio, CFO
Yeah, I guess, Vivek, what I would add is as we've been talking about the inventory position, the important piece to consider is with the significant demand we're seeing, we still think that we have not seen really any restocking activity from inventory from our customers. They continue to run very lean. And I think that our work over the last two years to balance out the inventory, both on our balance and in the channel, has really been helpful.
So we, as we look into the next quarter, we will continue to stage more inventory in the channel, given the acceleration going there. So I think there's still a lot of opportunity. And if you look at where we are from a consumption pattern, as Vince described, those three big secular drivers that are specific to our business, we can see real end demand. We're seeing the massive increase in AI infrastructure spend. We're seeing the aerospace and defense business grow.
So if you extract those pieces out and then look at the broader parts of our business, most of our business is still shipping well below historical consumption levels. So we think we still have room here on both the cyclical part of the upturn when we look at the broader markets I just described, and we continue to see strength across obviously the aerospace, defense, ATE, and data center businesses.
Vincent Roche, CEO
So I think in summary, we believe we're very, very well positioned as a company. The things that are under our control I think we're executing well on. But there's a lot of things that can happen with the macro. There's heightened geopolitical risk and hikes. Of course, there's a lot of volatility, as we all know, in the financial markets. Perhaps AI capex could slow or decrease. But all that said, our expectation is that we'll have a brisk growth year in 27.
Jeff Ambrose, Head of Investor Relations
All right, thank you, Vivek. We'll move to our next caller, please.
OPERATOR
Thank you. Our next question comes from Stacy Raskin with Bernstein Research. Your line is open.
Stacy Raskin, Analyst at Bernstein Research
Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. On the data center side, you said that 80% of your comm business was now data center, which I found interesting. And I mean, that data center piece is doubling‑ish, growing 100%. Is that the kind of growth rate I ought to be thinking about now for at least the comm segment next year? '27, given the vast majority of it is data center, do you think that that comm segment should be growing close to 100% year over year as I start to think about it?
And I guess maybe within that question, if you could give us any color on what you're expecting for the segments at least in the near term into Q4, that'd be helpful as well.
Richard Puccio, CFO
Yes, Stacy. Maybe we'll start with the near‑term stuff and kind of the end‑market outlook, and then we can maybe pass it to Vince for the AI outlook or the data center. Yeah, so yeah, I guess I can take that one. So basically at the midpoint of our outlook, we're expecting Industrial to be up high single digits, Communications to lead the growth—obviously led by data center—up about 10%, Consumer up high single digits, and Automotive to be up low single digits.
And then as for the growth and kind of how to model data center, which is basically your question on a longer‑term basis, at a high level there's many growth vectors. First of all, the market's strong; the end market's growing double digits if you look at capex, what have you. And then importantly, as Vince talked to you on his call, the analog BOM content is increasing significantly, particularly as we transition to 800 volts, et cetera. And obviously with the investments we're making, we're targeting to increase share in a lot of places.
So at a high level, we expect strength in data center for multiple years to come.
Vincent Roche, CEO
So I think, Stacy, rather than give you a number for 2027, we're almost double—on a pace to be 2x in ’26. And my sense is that we'll see an extended runway to at least 2030 for strong double‑digit growth across the data center market, as well as the energy space, by the way, which today is about a half‑billion‑dollar revenue for ADI. I think by the end of the decade that business will double.
Jeff Ambrose, Head of Investor Relations
Okay, Stacy, move to our next question, please.
OPERATOR
Thank you. Our next question comes from Tore Svanberg with Stifel. Your line is open.
Tore Svanberg, Analyst at Stifel
Yes, thank you. Vince, I had a bit of a longer‑term question for you as it relates to analog. I mean, it's an industry that historically has grown high single digits, but with analog now benefiting significantly more from AI infrastructure and then to your point, eventually also from physical AI, should we assume that the underlying growth of the analog industry is clearly shifting upwards here, both from a units and a pricing perspective?
Vincent Roche, CEO
Yeah, I think it is, Tore. Thanks for the question. You know, I think it's possible for the analog business to be in the double‑digit zone, compounded for several years to come. You just look at data center alone. If I just take data center, there's expected to be 100 gigawatts equivalent infrastructure built for data centers between now and kind of 2031. Each gigawatt generates a billion to a billion‑and‑a‑half analog SAM, and the problems are becoming more complicated in data centers.
So it's going to increase the sophistication and the pricing capabilities of the solution. So my sense is it's not unreasonable. You know, we had in our earnings day, which was, what, ’20, ’21 I think it was, we had said we thought our business could grow 5% to 7%. You know, we're contemplating something higher in the out years from here.
Tore Svanberg, Analyst at Stifel
Thank you so much.
OPERATOR
Thank you. Our next question comes from Mark Lipacis with Evercore. Your line is open.
Mark Lipacis, Analyst at Evercore ISI
Hi, great, thanks for taking my question. And maybe if I could follow up on that—and Vince, thanks for putting a number out there in a double‑digit range. The last time ADI revenues were above that long‑term 5% to 7% trend line was back in the late ’90s, early 2000, and there were similar arguments being made about the buildout of the Internet and there’s telecom deregulation. And I'm wondering, Vince, if you could just go back in time and compare what is the difference between the secular dynamics you see today and what many people saw back then, which ended up bringing analog revenues, not just yours but the industry, back down to that 5% to 7%.
Vincent Roche, CEO
Yeah, I think first off, because I looked through that myself, the concentration was quite high at the time. What I'm seeing now—if you look at the industry in the intervening period of time—more and more intelligence has been brought into the world of information technology. More edge, more intelligent edge. And that's increased, I think, just the TAM and the SAM for the analog sector. With every bit of information that's been processed, the value of that content has increased with every bit, with every watt.
And so what we're seeing—if you look at ADI just as a company—the breadth of our portfolio, the depth of our portfolio, the number of places in which we play is far, far greater. So as I said in my prepared remarks, what we've built into this company's business model is optionality. We get to pick, or the markets choose us, for the asymmetries. And then we have these compounding businesses that make the company extremely resilient. So I think from our perspective, the industry is just—it's broader, it's deeper.
Analog is much, much more important. And we think over the next 25 to 50 years, a lot of economic growth is going to be built on externalized intelligence—the gravity field of AI pulling everything with it. But I think the pervasiveness of what analog offers now, in general, is much, much greater. And we've got this gravity field irrespective of what might happen from a cyclical perspective in the coming years. My sense is we have never ever had a cycle like we've now got—just its breadth, its depth—and this gravity field of AI to pull it along.
Thank you, Mark.
Jeff Ambrose, Head of Investor Relations
Appreciate the question. Take our next question, please.
OPERATOR
Thank you. Our next question comes from Blaine Curtis with Jefferies. Your line is open.
Blaine Curtis, Analyst at Jefferies
Hey, morning, guys. Thanks for taking a question. I wanted to ask, just going back to the data center, but I guess you in the past referred to AI exposure that includes ATE. I was just trying to—as you look at the growth calculus and you have the data center part growing triple digits—curious how to frame the opportunity for ATE, and I don't know if you're willing to break out how big that was.
Richard Puccio, CFO
Yeah, Blaine, so in the past you're right. We've talked about this AI exposure as ATE plus our data center business combined—those are 20% of ADI. Without giving numbers for four years of growth, I mean, I think clearly we've got a lot of confidence, which importantly is backed up by our design‑in activity. It's not just hopes and dreams. If we look at our pipeline, the design activity with customers is strong in ATE as well as across data center—not just in power, but optical as well.
You heard Vince in the prepared remarks. So at a high level, that 20% of ADI has got a really strong growth tailwind behind it, and we feel like it's multi‑year. And again, that's confidence because of our design activity, because of our backlog, our pipeline, and the bookings momentum.
Blaine Curtis, Analyst at Jefferies
Okay, thank you.
Jeff Ambrose, Head of Investor Relations
Thanks, Blaine. We'll take our next question, please.
OPERATOR
Thank you. Our next question comes from Matthew Prisco with Cantor. Your line is open.
Matthew Prisco, Analyst at Cantor Fitzgerald
Yeah, guys, thanks for taking the question. So lots of talk about this really strong demand backdrop for years to come. So how do we think about ADI's supply capabilities today as these revenues continue to head higher? At what point do we need to start thinking about capacity additions? And are there any constraints arising in supply chain today or any areas that you see potential pressure in as we move forward?
Vincent Roche, CEO
Yeah, well, clearly, Rich.
Richard Puccio, CFO
Yeah, sure, I'll start, Matt, and then Vince maybe can talk some more about the longer‑term piece. But from our perspective, we really are executing well from a supply chain standpoint. As we've talked about, we've been able to deliver above seasonal growth for nine straight quarters; we're guiding to a tenth. We're continuing to build inventory, reflecting our ability to expand our internal capacities. We've talked about continuing to install new tools in available spaces, and we're also getting more wafers externally.
So we feel like we're very, very well positioned for the near‑ and medium‑term demand. Obviously, across the industry there's some soft spots, and lead times have started to extend, but we're working really hard to keep them in check. This demand acceleration is pretty unprecedented in recent memory, but we think we're very well positioned. We have a book‑to‑bill, as we've talked about, that's above one; we're not in that sort of unusually high space from a book‑to‑bill perspective.
We are also—and this helps us from a manufacturing efficiency perspective—getting a bit better visibility. We have some more orders coming in a bit longer term now. Frankly, we asked our customers to help us by doing that. It gives us the ability to be more precise in leveraging the capacity we have. So we feel like we're in a good position. We do continue to add capacity as we go. I'll give my two cents: we are scenario‑planning what this could look like if this kind of growth sustains, and how we would balance across our hybrid manufacturing with additional external wafers, but also whether we need to add capacity beyond what we're already doing and have been doing for the last three to four years.
Vincent Roche, CEO
Yeah, I think in addition, not only do we look to continue to increase the scope of our internal manufacturing capabilities, we have a number of great partners externally as well that we work with both on the front ends and back ends. So I would say jointly planning with our partners to take a long view to how we support all the various nodes that are critical to ADI, from the lithographically insensitive nodes—if you like, kind of 6 micrometers, that kind of level—right down to 5 nanometers and 3 nanometers.
That's what we did during the COVID cycle—just that we continued to extend the capability of that hybrid manufacturing system. That is our strategy going ahead. And, you know, just remember a couple of years ago it was expected that the semi industry in totality might reach a trillion dollars by 2030. Well, that's kind of in the wake at this point, and we're looking to something much, much bigger. So the industry has a big, big task to get ahead of what we now think the new growth trajectory is, including ADI.
Jeff Ambrose, Head of Investor Relations
Thank you. We'll take our last question, please.
OPERATOR
Thank you. And our last question comes from Joshua Buchalter with TD Cowen. Your line is open.
Joshua Buchalter, Analyst at TD Cowen
Hey, guys, congratulations on the very strong results, and thanks for squeezing me in. The 74% gross margin outlook is pretty staggering, and we're back to those 2022 peak levels. It's also coming without all that much incremental utilization torque. I guess bigger picture, through cycle, is that a number that you think you can sort of hold and grow off of? And I guess as we think longer term, can you speak to how you're prioritizing revenue growth versus margins?
Is this low‑ to mid‑70% level one that you intend to manage to long term? I guess.
Richard Puccio, CFO
Thank you. So I do think, as I previously mentioned, Justin, we can continue to grow, excuse me, continue to maintain that sort of roughly 74% level. And we will continue to focus, and I said this in the last call, we will continue to focus on growth investments which some of them may put some pressure on margins as we expand revenue growth dollars. But when you look at the balance of our portfolio and the parts of the portfolio that continue to grow, the opportunity to maintain that margin exists.
We are getting, as you mentioned, a ton of benefit by running the factories at the higher utilizations which we expect will be sustained throughout this upcycle. So, you know, we feel pretty good we're going to balance the investments we need to make to grow with maintaining that, you know, relatively maintaining that margin. I said this last quarter and I'll repeat it here, I don't think, for instance, there's a ton of room to get more margin accretion out of utilization.
But we are, you know, we are still only in a 49% industrial mix. So if the mix shifts, there's potential for upside or at least to be able to offset any potential headwinds. Because the other thing that is going to happen is we expect that the inflationary environment will continue now. We'll continue to monitor and track and focus on that as we have historically. But I do think we're in a pretty balanced position for the medium and long term here.
Vincent Roche, CEO
Yeah, I think just one other comment. I mean, the origin of the high gross margin structures is the innovation premium that we attract. So our job is to keep that premium moving and then, you know, the cycles help get the efficiency in manufacturing and so on and so forth. So those two things, one is obviously very strategic, the other operational, but those two parts we see having a lot of legs for a lot of years to come. Our customers are asking us to tackle more difficult problems, take on more of the work, so to speak, and the breadth and the depth of the high performance portfolio have positioned us well to continue to make that, you know, that early stage, the origin of the gross margin, a continuing critical part of ADI's value proposition.
Justin, Analyst
Thank you both and congrats again.
OPERATOR
Thank you.
Vincent Roche, CEO
Thanks, Josh.
OPERATOR
Thank you. This concludes the question and answer session. I would now like to turn it back to Jeff Ambrose for closing remarks.
Jeff Ambrose, Head of Investor Relations
Hey, thanks everyone for joining us. A copy of the transcript will be available on our website and all available reconciliations and additional information can also be found in the quarterly results section of our Investor Relations website, investor.analog.com. Thank you for your continued interest in Analog Devices and have a good day.
OPERATOR
This concludes today's Analog Devices conference call. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer: This transcript is provided for informational purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, there may be errors or omissions in this automated transcription. For official company statements and financial information, please refer to the company's SEC filings and official press releases. Corporate participants' and analysts' statements reflect their views as of the date of this call and are subject to change without notice.
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