Kristi Noem, on Thursday, was removed from her post as the Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security by President Donald Trump and reassigned as the Special Envoy for the Shield of the Americas.

Amid this reshuffle, the prediction market is busy betting on who will be the next person to leave the Trump administration this year.

Here's What Prediction Market Is Saying

Data from Kalshi, a federally authorized betting platform, shows that over $1.4 million has been bet on the contract “Who will leave the Trump administration this year?"

Three Officials Top The List

Amy Gleason, who has been acting as the Administrator for the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) since the departure of Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, is at the top, with bettors placing a 52% probability on her exit.

Kash Patel, the director of the FBI, is next, with bettors placing a 52% probability on his exit, up by 8%.

In December 2025, reports had suggested that Patel and Noem are under scrutiny and could be removed. With Noem's removal, Patel has once again come under the scanner.

Pam Bondi, the Attorney General, is next, with bettors placing a 50% probability on her exit this year.  

Bondi has also been under the scanner, with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) calling for her to step aside from any discussion related to the Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. (NASDAQ:WBD) deal with Paramount Skydance Corp. (NASDAQ:PSKY) and Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) amid alleged conflict of interest.

Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

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