Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock (NYSE:BLK) — the fund manager that oversees $14 trillion in assets — in an interview with the BBC this week, said something unusual to hear from Wall Street: that American society made a mistake by idolizing careers in finance and law, while quietly looking down on people who work with their hands.
“We really put judgment on so many jobs and so many people who probably should not have gone into banking or media or law,” Fink said in a podcast episode released Wednesday.
“We need to now rebalance that approach.”
AI Is Creating Trades
Fink’s argument is mathematical. Artificial intelligence is going to hollow out demand for certain white-collar roles. What it can’t replace is the physical infrastructure needed to run itself: the data centers, the power grids, the electrical systems, he said. The people who build those things are electricians, welders, and plumbers. And right now, there aren’t enough of them.
His latest annual letter to shareholders, published earlier this week, puts numbers behind the rhetoric. U.S. employment for electricians is growing three times faster than the national average. Many skilled trade jobs already pay well into six figures.
BlackRock’s own philanthropic arm has committed $100 million to a program called Future Builders, aimed at placing 50,000 workers into skilled trades over the next five years.
The deeper issue, as Fink frames it, is cultural. He noted that investment bankers are glamorized in dramas like Industry, while plumbers are caricatured on TV.
“We built the foundation of education after World War Two and said to all the young people, go to college, go to college, go to college,” he said. “And we probably overdid it.”
The Threat Lurking Beneath The Optimism
But there’s a threat lurking beneath Fink’s vision for the AI-and-trades economy — and it’s coming from the Middle East.
The ongoing war in Iran has sent oil prices back above $100 a barrel, and Fink outlined two possible “very extreme” outcomes. If the conflict ends and Iran re-enters the international community, oil prices could fall back below pre-war levels or $40 a barrel. If it doesn’t, he warned of “years of above $100, closer to $150 oil,” and a “stark and steep recession.”
AI infrastructure requires enormous amounts of cheap, reliable electricity, mostly natural gas. Fink’s letter outlined how energy cost is the single biggest bottleneck to AI expansion in both the U.S. and Europe.
A sustained oil shock, as the critical Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, raises the cost of powering the data centers that the AI economy runs on, making the U.S. more vulnerable and, in Fink’s telling, handing a strategic advantage to China, which is aggressively building out solar and nuclear capacity.
“I just see a lot of talk and no action” in Europe, he said, while urging the U.S. to treat solar expansion as an AI competitiveness strategy, not a climate one.
Image via Shutterstock
Login to comment